KUANTUM / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Kuantum Papers · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Q4 Revenue: ~INR 1,000 crore

Management guided that Q4 will be marginally better than Q3 (INR 290 crore) on back of already implemented price hikes of INR 2,000/ton with another INR 2,000/ton expected before month-end.

revenue

Full Capacity Revenue Run Rate: INR 1,800 crore

Upon completion of all four machine upgradations (PM4, PM1, PM2, PM3), annualized topline target of INR 1,800 crore with EBITDA of INR 300 crore (16.7% margin), to be achieved in FY27-28.

revenue

Normalized EBITDA/ton: INR 15,000-17,000

Management indicated normalized EBITDA per kg should climb to INR 15-17/kg (vs current ~INR 13.5/kg) as price hikes materialize and raw material costs moderate post-April harvest.

margins

PM2 & PM3 Capex Timeline

PM2 upgrade (INR 45 crore) scheduled for February 2026 with 30-day shutdown; PM3 upgrade (INR 140 crore) in May 2026 with 45-day shutdown, part of INR 735 crore total program.

expansion

FY27 Revenue Target: ₹1,400-1,500 crore

Management projects revenue of INR 1,400-1,500 crore for FY27 as new capacity (PM3 upgrade, pulp mill) comes online, ramping up volumes to 2,30,000 tonnes annually.

revenue

FY28 Revenue Target: ₹1,600-1,700 crore

Full capacity utilization expected to drive revenue to INR 1,600-1,700 crore by FY28 with stable market pricing assumed.

revenue

PAT Margin Target: 18-20%

Management targets PAT margins of 18-20% over next 2-3 years as debt reduces by ₹100-200 crore annually and new machines lower production costs.

margins

OPEX Reduction: 5-8% via AI Implementation

Industry 4.0 and AI-based Project Nirman targeting 5-8% reduction in total manufacturing cost across all machines (pulp mill and chemical recovery included) by FY27.

ai_strategy