JINDALSAW / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Jindal Saw · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Volume recovery to Q4 FY25 levels

Management expects to return to normalized quarterly volumes of ~4.35 lakh tonnes (as in Q4 FY25) once headwinds subside.

growth

Blast furnace restart in August 2025

The blast furnace under scheduled maintenance is expected to restart in August 2025, restoring ductile pipe production capacity.

other

Working capital improvement in coming months

Management expects working capital utilization to normalize within a couple of months as inventories are cleared and receivables collected.

other

H1 FY27 to remain soft with H2 recovery expected

Management reiterated prior guidance that H1 results will reflect geopolitical and JJM headwinds, but expects sequential improvement in H2 as API-certified seamless sales ramp and domestic water demand recovers. Q2 likely similar to Q1.

revenue

Seamless NSIC utilization to reach 70-80k MT/quarter from October 2026

With API license reinstated mid-June 2026, the Nashik seamless plant is expected to improve utilization starting September-October 2026, targeting 70-80k MT quarterly volume (down from pre-suspension guidance of 80-90k MT).

growth

FY27 volumes expected flat versus FY26

Management guided that overall pipe volumes for full year FY27 are likely to remain at similar levels to FY26 given the challenging operating environment, assuming current geopolitical and domestic demand conditions persist.

volume

New Middle East capex on track for FY28-29 commissioning

Abu Dhabi seamless plant (300k MT, ~$300M) targeting FY2029 commercial operations with 50-60% first-year utilization assumption. Saudi JV LSaw/ESaw plants (300k MT each) targeting FY28-29 with financial closure expected in next few months.

expansion

Gradual improvement from Q3 FY26 onward

Management expects operational and financial performance to improve gradually from Q3, driven by easing liquidity and strong order book.

growth

Seamless pipe commercial production in Q3 FY26

New piercing mill trial phase underway; commercial production expected in Q3, adding 150,000 tons annual capacity.

expansion

Maintenance capex of ₹600-700 crore annually

Annual maintenance capex for Jindal Saw standalone remains in the range of ₹600-700 crore, including molds.

capex

Job-work order execution of 125-150 kt in H2 FY26

Expect to produce 125,000-150,000 tons from the Saudi helical pipe job-work order in the remaining part of FY26.

revenue

Q4 FY26 volumes expected to be better than Q3

Management expects fourth quarter to be sequentially better in terms of volumes and margins, though not reaching FY25 levels.

growth

New projects in GCC to be commissioned by Feb 2028

Seamless pipe plant in Abu Dhabi and joint ventures in Saudi Arabia for ductile and spiral pipes are expected to be operational within 24 months, impacting financials from FY29.

expansion

Increasing export focus for DI pipes from India

Company aims to grow export component of DI pipe sales from minimal levels to reduce dependence on domestic market, with current export orders at $45 million.

growth

Capex of ₹500-600 crore in FY27

Management guided capital expenditure of ₹500-600 crore for FY27, primarily for Indian facilities and ongoing projects.

capex

Abu Dhabi seamless pipe plant on fast track

Land secured, equipment ordering started; plant expected to be operational in ~2 years.

expansion

Saudi JV for LSAW/HSAW facility

JV with BH Group (51% Jindal) established; land secured, LCs opened for fuel shipments.

expansion