BERGERPAINTSINDIA / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Berger Paints India · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

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Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

Q2 revenue growth expected slightly ahead of Q1

Volume growth in Q2 estimated at 7.5-8% with full-quarter price increase impact of 7.5-8.5%, compared to 5% time-weighted impact in Q1. Full impact of delayed industrial price increases will flow through.

revenue

Q2 operating margin improvement year-on-year

Operating profit margin expected to be better in Q2 on YoY basis driven by operating leverage from higher value sales and improved product mix with more exterior paint sales due to favorable monsoon versus last year.

margins

FY27 double-digit revenue growth to sustain

Management expects to sustain double-digit revenue growth for full year FY27, supported by festive season demand, distribution expansion, and price increases flowing through.

revenue

FY27 capex of Rs 600-800 crore

Capital expenditure guidance of Rs 600-800 crore for the year, with Panagar factory expected to come online by fiscal year-end. Second factory in Odisha near Bhubaneswar also planned.

capex

Volume growth to reach double digits next year

Management expects volume growth to improve to double digits (12-13%) in FY27, with value growth lagging by 4-5%.

growth

EBITDA margin to remain within 15-17% range

Operating margins are expected to stay within the guided band of 15-17%, with gross margins sustained as a key objective.

margins

Capex of ~1,800-2,000 cr for two new factories

Planned investment of about 1,800-2,000 crore for new factories at Panagar and Odisha, funded by internal accruals.

capex

Cumulative price hikes of ~12% in Q1 FY27

Management has taken three price increases in Q1 and a fourth on May 15, totaling ~12% to offset raw material inflation.

revenue

FY27 volume growth expected to hold at similar levels

Volume growth expected to be similar to FY26, with value growth significantly higher due to price hikes.

growth

EBITDA margin guidance maintained at 15-17%

Management reiterated the 15-17% EBITDA margin range on a 12-month basis, with potential to exceed temporarily.

margins

Nepal business expected to recover with double-digit growth

After election-related disruption, Nepal has seen robust double-digit growth in recent months and is expected to recover.

growth