ABCAPITAL / guidance tracker

Keep management guidance in view.

Aditya Birla Capital · forward-looking guidance across the available source record.

Research layer active

Guidance tracker

What management said would happen.

HFC ROA target of 2-2.2% over next 8 quarters

Management expects housing finance ROA to improve to 2-2.2% in the next 8 quarters, driven by operating leverage and scale.

margins

Life insurance net VNB margin expansion to 18%+ for FY26

Net VNB margin guidance of 18%+ for FY26, up from 7.5% in Q1, driven by product mix and rider attachments.

margins

Life insurance individual FYP CAGR of 20-25% for 3 years

Management targets 20-25% CAGR in individual first-year premium over the next three years, with absolute net VNB doubling.

growth

Credit cost expected to remain in similar range for FY26

NBFC credit cost of 1.3% in Q1 is expected to be maintained for the full year, reflecting stable asset quality.

other

Life Insurance: 20%+ Annual FYP Growth for Next 3 Years

Management reaffirmed its target to grow individual first year premium at 20%+ CAGR over the next three years, while simultaneously expanding VNB margins above 20% and doubling absolute net VNB value.

growth

Housing Finance: 1 Lakh Crore AUM in 6-8 Quarters

ABHFL targets reaching ₹1 lakh crore AUM in approximately 6-8 quarters from now, with ROE expected to scale back to ~15% as the business normalizes after the recent ₹250 crore capital raise.

growth

Gold Loan: 200-300 Branches by March 2027

ABCAPITAL is foraying into gold loan with 200-300 standalone branches going live in Q2 FY27, scaling to ~1,000 branches over three years, with all capex already budgeted in current plans.

expansion

Housing Finance: Opex to AUM Stable at ~2.2% Despite Branch Expansion

Despite adding 80-100 new branches during FY27 (50 already launched), HFC expects operating expense ratio to remain range-bound around 2.2% due to productivity improvements from AI-driven digital platforms.

margins

NBFC loan book to double in 3 years (~25% CAGR)

Management guided for NBFC AUM growth of 24-25% annually, aiming to double the loan book in three years.

growth

Life insurance individual FYP CAGR of 20%+ for 3 years

Life insurance business targets 20%+ CAGR in individual first year premium over the next three years, with VNB margin expansion to 18%+.

growth

NBFC ROA expansion to ~2.5% in 4-5 quarters

NBFC business aims to expand ROA to approximately 2.5% over the next four to five quarters, from current 2.25%.

margins

HFC ROA target of 2.1-2.2% to be achieved earlier than guided

Housing finance expects to reach its targeted ROA range of 2.1-2.2% ahead of the original 6-8 quarter timeline, given strong progress.

margins